nikolai wrote:What's bad public health policy? To have helmet law's or to not have them?
Look regular exercise is worth roughly 5 years of productive life more on average. Right? I know you (or someone else) are going to want me to dig up 75 links to peer reviewed studies that you won't read, and you know what, I,m not going to do it. But the 20 or so studies I have read over the years all say exercise == years more productive life. So live with it or find a decent peer reviewed opposing article that was not published in Homopathic monthly.
So assume you have 100,000 regular cyclists in Melbourne. THats what 2.5% of the population? Its a fair number for a guess. Now assume you can add just 1% to the number by getting rid of helmet laws. No one can possibly argue on the numbers that 1% of people dont give up cycling cos of helmet laws can they? Sheesh. Well you have to know that its a number much bigger than that so if you dont give me 1% you can just bugger off
So 1000 more cyclists. = 5000 more productive years in society. Got it? Assuming 100 years average lifespan. Again I am being really generous. 50 average lifespans
OK lets assume helmet laws saved double the number of cyclists actually killed last year in Victoria. That was 9 cyclists. http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/victoria-records-lowest-road-toll-ever-in-2011/story-fn7x8me2-%20%201226259073764
if you believe this source. Again really generous.. no one has proved absolutely for certain that bicycle helmets save lives so saying they saved 18 lives.. double the number of people actually killed HAS to be a generous number
(I should note however that at least 100 people on his forum have had their lives saved for certain sure by helmets. Some of them several times. One or two many times. If you say thats 200 lives saved on just this forum.. then at a guess helmet laws saved some 5000 lives in Victoria since they came in. Bwahhhahhhhhhahhhh)
OK so helmets saved 1800 years of productivity. IF I assume average cyclist age at death is zero. Otherwise less. And MHL costs 5000. See how that is NOT a win?